I have just finished watching a very interesting film, the 2012 drama The Company You Keep. Starring Robert Redford, Susan Sarandon, Shia LaBoeuf and Julie Christie and based on a novel by Lem Dobbs, it tells the story of the Weather Underground (WU), a violent left wing group that came out the Students for a […]
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I have just returned from Oslo where I was thrilled to catch up with one of my favourite terrorist experts, Thomas Hegghammer. Thomas and his colleagues at the FFI – Norway’s Defence Research Establishment – have published some amazing work over the last decade or so and I have personally learned much from them. When […]
I know for sure that this blog is going to raise some hackles, especially among my US friends and colleagues. Why? Because I am going to argue that the current US counter terrorism architecture is inadequate to deal with the threat and needs a serious overhaul. The solution I am proposing, however, will go against […]
I have written on many, many occasions that bad data and/or bad analysis usually leads to bad decision making. Think about it. If the basic facts are wrong or are misconstrued how can any policy based on those facts be of any value? Garbage in, garbage out as they say. This axiom was shown to […]
Data, people and terrorism
A lot of people are fascinated with technology. Maybe a little too fascinated. I am not suggesting that the use of technology is bad: after all, I am writing this blog on my Dell laptop and not the manual Smith-Corona typewriter (if you are under 30 look up the word “typewriter” in a dictionary) that […]
One of the main reasons I like to lecture at universities is that I find young people a breath of fresh air. They are not as jaded as old farts like me and are not afraid to ask questions and challenge assumptions. They may not be that knowledgeable on any given topic but they are […]
What’s up with all the Islamophobia?
I have a fear of heights. This fear makes it hard for me even to climb ladders. I know it sounds silly and irrational but that is what fears often are – irrational. Yes, some fears are valid and they do serve a purpose – for example a fear for snakes and spiders as some […]
In the ill-named “war on terror” small victories, let alone crushing ones, are hard to find. It seems that no matter how many terrorists we kill more rise up like the warriors that sprang from dragon’s teeth in Greek mythology and we see more attacks (one more today in Jerusalem). So it is little wonder […]
OK, I admit I am a little sensitive when it comes to the term “intelligence failure”. You would be too if the profession you devoted three decades to was constantly criticised in the media for screwing up. The failure to predict 9/11. The failure to predict India’s acquisition of a nuclear weapons capacity. The classic […]
Lies, damned lies and statistics
It is obvious that a lot of people are worried about terrorism. The news is full of stories of attacks, both successful and thwarted, and sometimes really alarming accounts like the news out of France that the government suspects that there are 15,000 French residents radicalising. More than 70% of Americans think more terrorist attacks […]